And in matchup where you can barely fit a sheet of paper between the two participants, that makes a hell of a lot of difference. Let me go back to my initial analogy. God bless Harpo Marx, Jordan Davis, and Dan Lanning, is I guess what I’m saying. What do Joe Burrow, Clint Eastwood, James Coley, and the Marx Brothers have in common? Nearly 14 million viewers watched the 2019 contest. Again, UGA may have a slight advantage in defending the explosive run here, but LSU could easily game plan around that, and win with pure efficiency. Let’s get the obvious out of the way first. Because when LSU has the ball, this is, statistically at least, a real clash of the titans: Let me help you interpret that: these two units are basically good at everything. Subscribe to our Free Newsletter, This Month in Sports ReferenceFind out when we add a feature or make a change. I’ll catch you guys in the ATL this weekend, but until then: Once A Dawg, Always A Dawg, How Sweet It Is, What Advanced Stats Can Tell Us About the 2019 SEC Championship. So I’m going to give you a different analogy in gif form: In the name of consistency, I intend to be just as contrarian in my analysis today as I have been in my analogies. If that held true, then the most important chart of the weekend will actually be this one: And herein lies the rub. Question, Comment, Feedback, or Correction? LSU 13 363-476-7 76.3 5029 386.8 49 196.0 3. Even UGA’s slight advantage in the run game is undercut by the anecdotal evidence of, I don’t know, ANY OFFENSIVE PLAY FROM THE ENTIRE SEASON. The 2009 SEC Championship Game earned an 11.8 rating and a 24 share, marking the highest-rated SEC Championship Game in history. What’s crazy about this game is that, even down to the SR by down chart, is how close these stats mirror each other. 2 Alabama Crimson Tide (12-0). Kirby Smart Postgame: Where the ‘Dawgs Go from here. 1. And this, I think, is a fundamentally sound way of looking at the game. Brad Nessler, Gary Danielson, Jamie Erdahl, and Gene Steratore were the crew of broadcaster's for the game. Those experts? But also, UGA can _________.” It’s mildly infuriating. An Open Letter To The Southeastern Conference Officials. Anyway, my core thesis after thinking about this matchup when LSU holds the ball was that it’s actually less important than what happens when UGA is on offense. To stay in the minutiae for a moment more, I think one of the very few areas one of these units can claim to have over the other is in the rushing game. Alabama 12 271-381-6 71.1 4122 343.5 46 198.7 2. Also of note in this chart is the SR by down section. But even that plan might not be incredibly effective, because these two teams are equally well-matched when it comes to explosiveness. *takes a deep breath, meditates, gets a prescription for Beta Blockers, then begins writing again* And this pattern continues when we look at the explosiveness numbers for these two teams. These teams are both so good, the margin between them so razor thin, that I thought we can expect it to be a little bit of a wash. UGA will hold LSU under their season averages, but won’t be able to contain the Tiger passing attack completely. Alabama 41, Georgia 24: You can’t kill me, I was already dead inside. But none of this means, fortunately for my sanity, that we can’t use numbers to determine the outcome of this game. Copyright © 2000-2020 Sports Reference LLC. All rights reserved. Keeping Jermaine Johnson, Nolan Smith, and Travon Walker off the field should, and I think will, be a priority for the law firm of Ensminger Brady and Orgeron. See our list of forfeits and vacated games for more details. 2019 Southeastern Conference Team Statistics Through games of Dec 08, 2019 PASS EFFICIENCY G Comp-Att-Int Pct. Experts -- a group in which I do not belong -- have billed this weekend’s tilt for the SEC title as a sort of high-noon standoff. I don’t have any sources inside Butts-Mehre, but I do think that a reasonable person can infer based on results that Kirby isn’t there yet. And the things they aren’t good at are matched by their opponents (relative) flaws. All logos are the trademark & property of their owners and not Sports Reference LLC. We use cookies and other tracking technologies to improve your browsing experience on our site, show personalized content and targeted ads, analyze site traffic, and understand where our audiences come from. LSU has a distinct advantage on 1st down. UGA has been truly elite in defending the run this year, while LSU has only been good to great at running the ball. The Story Behind The Sanford Stadium Coneheads: A Dawg Sports Special Report. They’re right. (Seriously, watch this scene, and the entirety of Duck Soup, if you haven’t) The UGA defense (Harpo) is going to come pretty close to doing something basically impossible - stop the LSU offense (Groucho) until they are foiled by the ineffectiveness of the UGA offense (Chico), who will continue to blunder into frame, unable or unwilling to read the damn room. As a matter of policy, Sports Reference only reports the results of games as played on the field. LSU, for instance, is only above average at preventing stuffed runs -- runs of 0 or 1 yards. There’s a nobility, a gravitas, a sense of virtuosity to Harpo’s performance here. Televised on CBS in the United States, the game earned a Nielsen rating of 7.9. Join our linker program. Mercedes-Benz Superdome - New Orleans, Louisiana, Bank of America Stadium - Charlotte, North Carolina, Hard Rock Stadium - Miami Gardens, Florida, Number in parentheses indicates AP rank at time of bowl game. Do you have a blog? Please also read our Privacy Notice and Terms of Use, which became effective December 20, 2019. By choosing I Accept, you consent to our use of cookies and other tracking technologies. Are you a Stathead, too? Or write about sports?
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