latest snp poll ratings

It predicts a pro-independence majority of 74 MSPs at Holyrood, with 10 Scottish Green MSPs. Tiny differences could mean the difference over whether the SNP gets a majority, and their likely ability to forge an electoral pact with the Greens again means they would still have a majority for pursuing independence. So long as the union is centre stage, the SNP and Tories will benefit. News Politics Worst polling for Yes since 2019 as SNP support continues to drop, poll shows Support for independence is at its lowest level for almost 18 months as the SNP… This latest polling puts SNP seats down to 67 (from 71 in April), while the Tories take 29 seats (up from 27), Labour with 20, the Greens taking 8, and the Lib Dems would have 5. Explore the latest YouGov polling, survey results and articles about Scottish National Party. Then 21% chose the Conservatives, down three, 18% Labour, down two, and Lib Dems unchanged on 6%. Nicola Sturgeon re-election at risk as new poll indicates a drop in SNP popularity ... having doubts over the unity of the SNP. Ms Sturgeon has a net approval rating of +23, while Labour leader Anas Sarwar has seen a significant boost to his personal ratings, with his score going from -3 in Opinium’s last poll to +10. An exclusive new Opinium poll of Scottish voters suggests the SNP's recent troubles has dented its poll rating. While SNP support is lower in both the constituency vote, down one point to 45 per cent, and the regional list, down two points to 36 per cent, the party is still expected to be the dominant force in the Scottish Parliament with 61 seats – two down on its 2016 result. SNP leader Nicola Sturgeon and Scottish Labour leader … A second poll, carried out for the Sunday Times by Panelbase, revealed the SNP were on 48 per cent, the Tories 21 per cent, Labour 20 per cent, the Lib Dems 7 per cnet and Greens 3 … Such a result would be an overwhelming victory over the SNP’s main rivals the Scottish Conservatives and Scottish Labour and would likely deliver a pro-independence majority with support from the Scottish Greens. This would see the party return 59 MSPs, four below the 2016 result, with 65 needed for a majority. The result of today's Opinium poll would deliver a similar result to the one seen in 2016 in Holyrood. This website and its associated newspaper are members of Independent Press Standards Organisation (IPSO). Want to join the conversation? It says membership of it helps to stabilise the outgoing currency and smooth the transition into the eurozone, for two years. THE SNP could miss out on a majority by six seats at tomorrow's election, a new poll has found. The SNP chief played games with kids in Aberdeenshire on the campaign trail today Credit: PA. SNP’s poll ratings have tanked March 9, 2021 There was a lot pleasure amongst Unionists over the weekend, and it was solely partly all the way down to … Ms Sturgeon is nevertheless a lot more popular than Mr Salmond, with 58% having a favourable view of her, compared with 14% for her predecessor. Our latest figures find that if there was a general election tomorrow the SNP would get just over half of all votes (51%), six points higher than they achieved in the election last December. The average of five polls – Ipsos MORI, Opinium, Panelbase, Savanta ComRes and Survation – between March 29 and April 7 taken by the BBC has shown the SNP well out in front with a projected 51 per cent of the constituency vote, more than twice that of the second place Conservatives on 21 per cent. SNP's poll ratings have tanked - and about time too The SNP might win in May - but their victory will be a bitter and short-lived one Tom Harris 8 March 2021 • 12:12pm THERE is a “striking” difference between Nicola Sturgeon and Boris Johnson’s popularity in Scotland, a new poll shows. Scottish Election 2021 RECAP: Polling across Scotland closes... Scottish Election 2021 LIVE: Election results and updates fr... Video: Nicola Sturgeon brands Jayda Fransen 'fascist' and 'r... Scottish Election 2021: Will there be a Scottish election ex... Scottish election results 2021: when will outcome of vote be... Scottish election polls: what are the latest opinion polls f... Scottish election 2021: What is a peach vote? Most of the pollsters listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules.. SNP: The SNP swept Scotland’s seats in the 2015 election (Image: GETTY) This has since been refuted, as the EU has insisted that joining the Exchange Rate Mechanism isn’t voluntary. "Instead, it seems that the two major unionist parties, the Conservatives and Labour, have somewhat – but by no means completely – got their act together, and are at least doing a better job now at retaining their core vote, rather than leaking it to Yes and the SNP. Why the partie... Scottish Election 2021: The die is cast, now Scotland waits.... Who should I vote for in Scottish election 2021? Yes Election 2021: New SNP face to replace predecessor in Renfrewshire North and West The National, Scotland 05:05 29-Apr-21 Taxi firms to receive £10,000 grants if the SNP are re-elected in May Daily Record 04:55 29-Apr-21 Every poll of 2020 recorded the SNP share of the constituency vote above 50%, peaking at 58% in September and October, suggesting that the SNP's recent troubles have dented their poll rating. Opinium found that when voters were asked about the upcoming Holyrood elections, the SNP would get 46% of the constituency vote, Conservatives 24%, Labour 20%, Lib Dems 6% and the Greens 4%. The poll is further bad news for a stuttering SNP election campaign that began with high hopes of an overall majority following the vote due to take a place a week today across Scotland. What this is down to remains unclear. How this works: FiveThirtyEight’s pollster ratings are calculated by analyzing the historical accuracy of each polling organization’s polls along with its methodology. There is significant division among Scots about whether there should be a referendum in the coming five years: 46% think there should be a referendum before 2026 but a bigger proportion, 47%, think there shouldn't be if the SNP win an overall majority in May. Accuracy scores are adjusted for the type of election polled, the poll’s sample size, the performance of other polls surveying the same race and other factors. Related Posts Nicola Sturgeon’s party is set to lose two seats when compared with 2016 and be four short of a majority, according to the survey, once the results are projected into seats. Two new opinion polls suggest strong leads for the SNP ahead of the upcoming Holyrood election, though analysis differs on how this will translate into MSPs for Nicola Sturgeon’s party. While the changes are within the margin of error, with Yes support dropping two points and No rising by two points, it is the worst polling for the independence movement since a YouGov poll on December 3, 2019. The poll found Ms Sturgeon is still highly popular in Scotland, with a 27-point approval rating, compared with Boris Johnson who gets a rating of -35 and Keir Starmer on -11. The SNP have most reason to be pleased with the findings from our poll. The research found 4% of those who plan to vote SNP on May 6 will choose the SNP for their constituency vote and Alba on the list. The poll found that the results of the upcoming inquiries into the investigation into her predecessor Alex Salmond might pose dangers for Ms Sturgeon. Interestingly it also suggests that the SNP may achieve that milestone by virtue of the constituency part of the ballot alone, gaining 66 of the 73 seats available in that part of the election. Demands for a second independence referendum are likely to intensify regardless of these numbers, however, with pro-independence parties set for a controlling majority in Holyrood, the poll shows. The poll found the slimmest of majorities in favour of independence, 51% in favour to 49% against once "don't knows" are removed. Poll shows narrow support for independence but SNP falling short of a majority. There has been little movement in the polls so far, with SNP still out in front. Labour sit on 21% and 22%, the Tories 21% and … ©JPIMedia Publishing Ltd. All rights reserved. Of the remainder who have a view, 14% want a closer relationship than that currently negotiated, 12% think the current relationship is right, while 16% want a more distant relationship. Such a result would see the party return 11 MSPs, up from the six elected in 2016. Meanwhile, 15% think her accuser, Mr Salmond, is telling the truth, while 68% think he isn't. Results of such polls are displayed in this list. Douglas Ross, the Tory leader in Scotland, is also in negative territory on -15, while Anas Sarwar, who was elected Labour leader this month, has a net approval score of 0. Should a second independence referendum be held tomorrow, just 42 per cent of voters would vote Yes, with 49 per cent of Scots backing No and a further 8 per cent undecided. When casting their second vote for a representative for the electoral region, the poll puts the SNP on 42%, Tories on 22%, Labour on 19%, the Greens on 7% and Lib Dems on 5%. The results put the SNP ahead in both constituency and list votes, on 50% and 35% respectively. This, alongside a higher regional list voting intention of 19 per cent, up two points, would see new leader Anas Sarwar returned to Holyrood with 24 MSPs – exactly the same number as in 2016. SNP hopes of a majority at next month’s Holyrood elections continue to fade as another poll shows the party is set to narrowly miss out on returning more than 65 MSPs. Some 40% think Ms Sturgeon was telling the truth in the recent hearings with her and Mr Salmond, compared with 44% who do not. Support for Scottish independence has surged and the SNP are heading for a landslide victory at next year's Holyrood election, according to a new poll. Scottish Labour are the most improved party in the constituency vote, with 23 per cent of voters saying they would back the party, up three points from the previous poll. The poll was conducted between Tuesday and Friday, and surveyed 1,026 voters in Scotland. Following the election of Boris Johnson as Prime Minister in the general election a few days later from that poll, support for Yes reached a peak of 58 per cent during the pandemic. About YouGov At the heart of our company is a global online community, where millions of people and thousands of political, cultural and commercial organizations engage in a continuous conversation about their beliefs, behaviours and brands. Please register or log in to comment on this article. Such a result would see Mr Ross sent to Holyrood as leader with a total of 28 MSPs, down three from their result of 31 under Ruth Davidson. However polls from other companies are not directly comparable and Opinium has not conducted a Scottish poll since the 2019 general election. A new poll suggests the SNP are to win a five-seat majority, with Labour overtaking the Tories. The pro-union party is set to see 23 per cent of voters back them on the constituency list, down two points from the previous Savanta ComRes poll, with 22 per cent of voters backing the party on the list, down one point. "This, coupled with a potentially more fragmented pro-independence List vote, more so from the Greens than from the ever-unpopular Alex Salmond’s Alba Party, means the SNP may fall short of their majority and not give Nicola Sturgeon the unequivocal mandate for a second independence vote.”. His party’s rise in the poll could be a reflection of the new leader’s encouraging approval ratings, with the Glasgow MSP the second most popular party leader with a net favourability rating of +9, below Ms Sturgeon on +16, but well ahead of main rival Mr Ross on -15. By Derek Healey July 5 … YES has taken a slim lead in the latest poll on Scottish independence, but the SNP look set to just fall short of an overall majority at the election. Scottish mum's fury after photo of dead teenage son appears on Tinder, Worst polling for SNP since October 2019 ahead of election day. With don’t knows excluded, this would see No winning indyref2 with a similar margin to the original vote in 2014, with 54 per cent of the vote to Yes’s 46 per cent. Most Scots with a view, 47%, still want to rejoin the EU, although this is lower than the proportion who voted to remain in 2016. Support for Scottish independence dives four points and Boris Johnson's ratings creep up amid bitter SNP infighting and slow vaccine rollout. The Conservatives are on 25%, while Labour are in third on 15%. "The SNP’s appeared to ride negative headlines in the early part of the year, so it’s unlikely that the party itself has just gotten more unpopular all of the sudden. Support for Alex Salmond’s Alba party is at just 2 per cent of the regional list, up one point, with the former first minister failing to be elected back to the Scottish Parliament. Using a uniform swing calculator, a crude method to predict the number of seats using the percentage share of the vote, Opinium says that the poll results would mean the SNP gain one seat to 64 seats but still be one short of a majority. When choosing a constituency MSP, the Opinium poll found 53% chose the SNP, up seven percentage points from last month. Opinium interviewed 1,096 Scottish adults online for Sky News from 11 to 16 March. The exclusive poll, by Savanta ComRes for The Scotsman, has support for Yes at its lowest level since just before the 2019 general election, which saw Boris Johnson’s Conservative party earn an overwhelming majority in Westminster. This poll indicates that may still happen, suggesting an overall majority albeit by just two seats with the party tallying 67. The exclusive Opinium poll of Scottish voters, taken this week, also reveals 51% of Scots would support independence - against 49% who say they would remain part of the United Kingdom. Chris Hopkins, associate director at Savanta ComRes said the trend in the polls were clear and could show the unionist parties had successfully appealed to their core voters. The Scottish Liberal Democrats are set to re-elect five MSPs, with 7 per cent of the constituency vote (up one point) and 5 per cent of the regional list vote (no change). He said: “The direction of travel has been clear in the last few polls, with support for both independence and the SNP dropping ahead of the May elections. The latest poll results also Mr Johnson's approval ratings have risen by … In 2014, Scotland rejected independence by a margin of 55-45. While still giving Ms Sturgeon's SNP a clear lead, the 46% who say they would vote for the SNP in their local constituencies represents the lowest proportion for the party in any poll since the December 2019 general election. In the constituency vote, the SNP is on 55%, representing a four-point jump since March. However, if she is found to have broken the ministerial code, 51% think Ms Sturgeon should resign, compared with 35% who think she should stay in her job. @SamCoatesSky, Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player. Nicola Sturgeon on course to remain first minister but SNP's Holyrood majority in the balance, poll for Sky News suggests, Exclusive Scottish poll for Sky News by Opinium. A Savanta ComRes poll for The Scotsman suggests the SNP will fall one MSP short of a majority, while an Opinium survey forecasts a 13-seat majority for the party. Two new opinion polls suggest strong leads for the SNP ahead of the upcoming Holyrood election, though analysis differs on how this will translate into MSPs for Nicola Sturgeon’s party. This is the fourth poll to put support for the union ahead of independence following the publication of surveys by Survation, YouGov and the previous Savanta ComRes poll for The Scotsman. In the run-up to the 2021 Scottish Parliament election, various organisations are conducting opinion polling to gauge voting intentions. The SNP have a 22-point lead in a new Scottish poll for Sky News, which would see Nicola Sturgeon remain first minister after the May elections but could deprive her party of an overall majority at Holyrood. The survey interviewed 1,001 Scottish adults aged 16 or over between April 23 and April 27. The party looks set to make gains at the general election and Nicola Sturgeon’s personal ratings remain the highest of any of the party leaders. However, this poll is another that indicates dropping support in Scottish independence, with recent polls suggesting the question is now a dead heat between Yes and No. The Tories would be down two to 29 seats, Labour unchanged on 24 seats and the Greens up one seat to seven. Should the result after May 6 match this poll, the Scottish Greens will see their record result at any Holyrood election with 10 per cent of the regional list vote, up three points from the last Savanta ComRes poll. Douglas Ross’s Scottish Conservatives are down when compared to last week’s equivalent poll, but are still comfortably in second place ahead of Scottish Labour. GEORGE Galloway mocked Nicola Sturgeon and the SNP as new polls showed a fall in support for Scottish independence which could threaten … When casting their second vote for a representative for the electoral region, the poll puts the SNP on 42%, Tories on 22%, Labour on 19%, the Greens on 7% and Lib Dems on 5%. It would also be enough for a clear pro-independence majority in Holyrood, though would fall short of a two-thirds ‘super-majority’ of 86 MSPs. News Opinion Latest poll shows SNP riding high as Scots back Nicola Sturgeon's handling of Covid crisis – Angus Robertson Some 71 per cent of … Deputy political editor The YouGov survey, carried out for The Times, found support for Scottish independence is at 53% while 57% of Scots plan to vote SNP at next year’s election. 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