[29], In July 2014, the USGS increased the risk assessment for the New Madrid area. Some of the details involved in this prophecy include an unzipping of the fault so powerful that it'll split the river tens of miles wide open, destroying all bridges across it and preventing people, commerce, etc from passing east to west across it ever again. The USGS issued a fact sheet in 2009 stating the estimate of a 7–10% chance of a New Madrid earthquake of magnitude comparable to one of the 1811–1812 quakes within the next 50 years, and a 25–40% chance of a magnitude 6.0 earthquake in the same time frame. Encyclopaedia Britannica's editors oversee subject areas in which they have extensive knowledge, whether from years of experience gained by working on that content or via study for an advanced degree.... …it is known as the New Madrid Fault. [24], The lack of apparent land movement along the New Madrid fault system has long puzzled scientists. Because uplift rates associated with large New Madrid earthquakes could not have occurred continuously over geological timescales without dramatically altering the local topography, studies have concluded that the seismic activity there cannot have gone on for longer than 64,000 years, making the New Madrid Seismic Zone (NMSZ) a young feature, or that earthquakes and the associated uplift migrate around the area over time, or that the NMSZ has short periods of activity interspersed with long periods of quiescence. It is part of the North American tectonic plate and the major fault among four, located in this region. The New Madrid fault zone is six times larger than the San Andreas fault zone in California and it covers portions of Illinois, Indiana, Ohio, Missouri, Arkansas, Kentucky, Tennessee and Mississippi. By signing up for this email, you are agreeing to news, offers, and information from Encyclopaedia Britannica. [6], Dendrochronology (tree ring) studies conducted on the oldest bald cypress trees growing in Reelfoot Lake found evidence of the 1811–1812 series in the form of fractures followed by rapid growth after their inundation, whereas cores taken from old bald cypress trees in the St. Francis sunklands showed slowed growth in the half century that followed 1812. We know they happen frequently along the earth’s tectonic plates. Based on artifacts found buried by sand blow deposits and from carbon-14 studies, previous large earthquakes like those of 1811–1812 appear to have happened around AD 1450 and 900,[4] as well as around AD 300. The zone had four of the largest North American earthquakes in recorded history, with moment magnitudes estimated to be as large as 7.0 or greater, all occurring within a 3-month period between December 1811 and February 1812. No damages but a seismic seiche propagating upriver, and Little Prairie heavily damaged by soil … The earthquake near New Salem, Illinois–on an extension of the New Madrid fault–is a reminder that, for all of the publicity that earthquakes in California get, the fault system that caused this quake is the most dangerous in the continental United States.. Faults result from cracks and breaks in rock formations. It lies deep in the earth and cannot be seen from the surface. Coordinates: .mw-parser-output .geo-default,.mw-parser-output .geo-dms,.mw-parser-output .geo-dec{display:inline}.mw-parser-output .geo-nondefault,.mw-parser-output .geo-multi-punct{display:none}.mw-parser-output .longitude,.mw-parser-output .latitude{white-space:nowrap}36°35′N 89°35′W / 36.58°N 89.59°W / 36.58; -89.59. Although many people think of California’s San Andreas fault, which birthed the San Francisco earthquake of 1906, as the most dangerous in North America, the quakes from 1811 to 1812 that erupted from the New Madrid Seismic Zone were the most destructive. Our editors will review what you’ve submitted and determine whether to revise the article. Aftershocks strong enough to be felt occurred until 1817. ( OPINION) Michael Snyder – So many people have been shown the great earthquake that is eventually going to rip North America in half along the New Madrid fault. Most notably, the rift was the site of the tremendous New Madrid earthquakes, a series of earthquakes and aftershocks that began in December 1811 and continued for at least a year. The New Madrid Fault Line Is The Most Dangerous in The United States If and when the New Madrid fault line gives way, it will amount to catastrophe unlike any we’ve seen. Tennessee, Arkansas, and Missouri would be most severely impacted, and the cities of Memphis, Tennessee, and St. Louis, Missouri, would be severely damaged. • December 16, 1811, 8:15 UTC (2:15 am local time): M 7.2–8.2, epicenter in what is now northeast Arkansas. In a report filed in November 2008, the U.S. Federal Emergency Management Agency warned that a serious earthquake in the NMSZ could result in "the highest economic losses due to a natural disaster in the United States," further predicting "widespread and catastrophic" damage across Alabama, Arkansas, Illinois, Indiana, Kansas, Kentucky, Mississippi, Missouri, Oklahoma, Texas, and particularly Tennessee, where a 7.7 magnitude quake would cause damage to tens of thousands of structures affecting water distribution, transportation systems, and other vital infrastructure. By studying evidence of past quakes and closely monitoring ground motion and current earthquake activity, scientists attempt to understand their causes and recurrence intervals. The New Madrid fault zone, six times larger than the San Andreas in California, has generated a series of massive earthquakes thrusting the Atwood and Chandler families in a fight to survive. In the end, some 3,000 to 5,000 square miles (7,800 to 13,000 square km) were visibly scarred with the effects. The New Madrid seismic zone is located in the northern part of what has been called the Mississippi embayment. A seismic seiche propagated upriver, and Little Prairie (a village that was on the site of the former Fort San Fernando, near the site of present-day Caruthersville, Missouri The New Madrid Fault is located beneath the Mississippi River Valley in the Midwest United States. This relative weakness is important, because it would allow the relatively small east-west compressive forces associated with the continuing continental drift of the North American plate to reactivate old faults around New Madrid, making the area unusually prone to earthquakes in spite of it being far from the nearest tectonic plate boundary. It crosses 5 state lines and cuts across the Mississippi River in 3 places and the Ohio River in 2 places. Direct economic losses, according to the report, would be at least $300 billion. The 1811–1812 New Madrid earthquake sequence was preceded by at least two other similar sequences in about A.D. 1450 and A.D. 900. [5] About 80 km southwest of the presently defined NMSZ, but close enough to be associated with the Reelfoot Rift, near Marianna, Arkansas, two sets of liquefaction features indicative of large earthquakes have been tentatively identified and dated to 3500 and 4800 BC. The New Madrid Seismic Zone , sometimes called the New Madrid Fault Line, is a major seismic zone and a prolific source of intraplate earthquakes (earthquakes within a tectonic plate) in the Southern and Midwestern United States, stretching to the southwest from New Madrid, Missouri. [24] The United States Geological Survey (USGS) requested an evaluation of the prediction by an advisory board of earth scientists, who concluded, "the prediction does not have scientific validity. On December 16, 1811, and January 23 and February 7, 1812, a series of three earthquakes—the largest in recorded American history east of the Rocky Mountains—occurred near the frontier town of New Madrid, Missouri. The New Madrid Fault extends approximately 120 miles southward from the area of Charleston, Missouri, and Cairo, Illinois, through Mew Madrid and Caruthersville, following Interstate 55 to Blytheville, then to Marked Tree Arkansas. The number The quake damaged the civic building at Henderson, Kentucky, and was felt in 23 states. The New Madrid fault system was responsible for the 1811–12 New Madrid earthquakes, and has the potential to produce large earthquakes in the future. The colors are keyed to the peak intensity of ground velocity at the surface. This page was last edited on 12 March 2021, at 00:02. In October 2009, a team composed of University of Illinois and Virginia Tech researchers headed by Amr S. Elnashai, funded by the Federal Emergency Management Agency, considered a scenario where all three segments of the New Madrid fault ruptured simultaneously with a total earthquake magnitude of 7.7. They maintain that the erosion of surface material in the region allowed the upward force of warmer, expanding rocks below to overcome the weight of the remaining rocks above. (epicentre 36.6° N 89.6° W), each measuring greater than magnitude 7.0. Summary: This prophecy details a massive earthquake on the New Madrid fault line. Lying in the central area of the North American Plate, the seismic zone is about 45 miles (70 km) wide and about 125 miles (200 km) long. Many of the published accounts describe the cumulative effects of all the earthquakes (known as the New Madrid Sequence), so finding the individual effects of each quake can be difficult. The largest NMSZ earthquake of the 20th century was a 5.4-magnitude quake (although it was reported as a 5.5 at the time) on November 9, 1968, near Dale, Illinois. Be on the lookout for your Britannica newsletter to get trusted stories delivered right to your inbox. [1], Earthquakes that occur in the New Madrid Seismic Zone potentially threaten parts of eight American states: Illinois, Indiana, Missouri, Arkansas, Kentucky, Tennessee, Oklahoma, and Mississippi.[2]. [8], Hundreds of aftershocks of the 1811–1812 series followed over a period of several years. [25] Seth Stein, the leader of the research group, published these views in a book, Disaster Deferred, in 2008. a long-established weakness in the Earth’s crust in the central and eastern US where earthquakes have occurred for hundreds of millions of years. Updates? interpreted the lack of similar signals elsewhere in the chronology as evidence against large New Madrid earthquakes between those years and 1811. Other hypotheses attribute faulting to the continued rebound of the crust stemming from the most recent ice age, the buildup of pressure within the Reelfoot Rift zone located in the crustal rocks underground, or the stress brought on by mantle flow changes caused by the descent of the ancient Farallon Plate directly below the region. One concern is that the small earthquakes that still happen are not diminishing over time, as would be if they were aftershocks of the 1811–1812 events; another is that the 4,500-year archaeological record of large earthquakes in the region is more significant than 10 years of direct strain measurement. Shedlock, and J.K. Odum. New Madrid Seismic Zone (NMSZ), region of poorly understood, deep-seated faults in Earth’s crust that zigzag southwest-northeast through Arkansas, Missouri, Tennessee, and Kentucky, U.S. The fault line runs roughly 150 miles from Arkansas into Missouri and Illinois. It is southwest of the Wabash Valley Seismic Zone. ", 10.1130/0091-7613(1998)026<0515:ESITRD>2.3.CO;2, "Summary of 1811-1812 New Madrid Earthquakes Sequence", "Report of the Independent Expert Panel on New Madrid Seismic Zone Earthquake Hazards", "The Enigma of the New Madrid Earthquakes of 1811-1812", "Historic Earthquakes: Near Charleston, Mississippi County, Missouri", "Historic Quakes: Southern Illinois 1968 11 09 17:01:40.5 UTC", "USGS Earthquake Hazards Program, Earthquake Report: Kentucky", 10.1130/0091-7613(2001)029<0175:DDTISI>2.0.CO;2, "Sinking Mafic Body in a Reactivated Lower Crust: A Mechanism for Stress Concentration at the New Madrid Seismic Zone", "Descent of the ancient Farallon slab drives localized mantle flow below the New Madrid seismic zone", "Government warns of "catastrophic" U.S. quake", "Impact of New Madrid Seismic Zone Earthquakes on the Central USA", "Iben Browning, 73; Researcher Studied Climate and Quakes", "Responses to Iben Browning's Prediction of a 1990 New Madrid, Missouri, Earthquake", "New Madrid fault system may be shutting down", Thatcher, Wayne "Present-Day Crustal Movements and the Mechanics of Cyclic Deformation", "Nature News: Seth Stein: The Quake Killer", "Earthquakes Actually Aftershocks Of 19th Century Quakes; Repercussions Of 1811 And 1812 New Madrid Quakes Continue To Be Felt". 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