(Studio: Lesley Stahl) IN's gubernatorial election discussed; cands. 05:30:00 pm — 05:30:30 pm. Campaign '88 / Bush vs. Dukakis / Elec. Since 1988, AALDEF has conducted multilingual exit polls in Asian American communities on Election Day. Republicans outnumber Democrats by 7 points in Florida exit poll results, 37% vs. 30%, the widest R-D margin in Florida exit poll data through 1988 and a shift from 2016’s 33-32%. True Vote 53.0 41.3 Based on plausible returning/new voter turnout and NEP shares. Americans Talk Security #11, [Nov 4-Nov 7, 1988], CBS News/New York Times Poll, [Nov 2-Nov 4, 1988], ABC News/Money Poll, [Oct 31-Nov 27, 1988]. He served his sentence at the medical facility and was released in the year 1988. IN exit polls re: Bayh, Vice President George Bush and Quayle illustration Impact of elecs. ABC News/Washington Post Election Exit Polls, 1982 (ICPSR 8120) Version Date: Feb 16, 1992 View help for published. Composition of the Exit Polls W ho votes is a key question to understanding electoral politics in the United States. Having trouble accessing information on this website or need materials in an alternate format, contact, Roper Center uses cookies to create a seamless experience for our users. Demographic Group Dukakis Bush TOTAL All Voters Pct. Code Switch Politics Of Respectability And A Dragged Passenger. upon next administration discussed. Results of the presidential election of 1988, won by George Bush with 426 electoral votes. This was the first presidential election since 1948, and the most recent to date, in which a party won a third presidential term. These recent national polls have left Democrats almost giddy with anticipation. Preview and Introduction Dan Rather (New York City) #319227. 1988; Month George H. W. Bush % Michael Dukakis % March 52%: 40% April 45%: 43% May 38% 54%: June 38% 52%: 41% 46%: July 41% 47%: 37% 54%: August 42% 49%: September 49%: 41% 47%: 42% October 50%: 40% November 56%: 44% Actual result: 53.37%: 45.65% Difference between actual result and final poll-2.63% +1.65%: While Dukakis was able to open … Recorded 48.1 46.0 Official vote share. How would you rate the condition of the national economy these days? Exit Polls and Election Night Forecasts in BBC General Election Results Broadcasts, 1955–2017 Stuart Wilks-Heeg and Peter Andersen Abstract This article examines the role of results forecasts and exit polls in BBC general election night broadcasts from 1955 to 2017. The 1988 United States presidential election was the 51st quadrennial presidential election, held on Tuesday, November 8, 1988.The Republican nominee, incumbent Vice President George H. W. Bush, defeated the Democratic nominee, Governor Michael Dukakis of Massachusetts.This was the first presidential election since 1948, and the most recent to date, in which a party won a third presidential … By Cameron Arcand ... as 30 percent nationally is the best performance a Republican presidential candidate has had among Jewish voters since 1988. CHRISTOPHER CONNELL March 9, 1988 GMT. United States presidential election of 1988, American presidential election held on Nov. 8, 1988, in which Republican George Bush defeated Democrat Michael Dukakis. E-M provided unadjusted exit poll data for 238 of 255 state presidential elections from 1988 to 2004. Big Board; Map; Obama: Victory Speech; McCain: Concession Speech; Exit Polls; Exit Polls Table; Overall. All Rights Reserved. Also see State Election Day Exit Polls and State Primary Exit Polls. The sample was spread throughout all 18 constituencies and undertaken at 124 polling booths. This page powered by Stata: Software for Statistics and Data Science. Coded to state level. First Published 1991. But the 1988 case isn’t useful today in helping us understand where the 2020 presidential contest is now. President Carter was perceived by many as being unfriendly to Israel, but he still carried the Jewish vote in 1980 in an election he lost by ten percentage points. Sign up for the Data Dive newsletter with quarterly news, data stories and more. © 2021 Roper Center, Cornell University. In every election, the Democrats do much better than the official recorded vote indicates. As always, the Final 2008 National Exit Poll was forced to match the recorded vote-count. Would you describe the state of your own personal finances these days as: excellent, good, not so good, or poor? The Republican nominee, incumbent Vice President George H. W. Bush, defeated the Democratic nominee, Governor Michael Dukakis of Massachusetts. Pennsylvania exit poll and the 2004 and 2006 National Election Pool Pennsylvania exit polls. Republicans outnumber Democrats by 7 points in Florida exit poll results, 37% vs. 30%, the widest R-D margin in Florida exit poll data through 1988 and a shift from 2016’s 33-32%. The United States election of 1988 featured an open primary for both major parties. Poll: Trump Makes Record Gains with Jewish Voters . While not presented here, exit polls conducted by ABC News/ Washington Post and NBC News showed gender gaps of similar magnitude to those evident in the CBS/New York Times polls. An analysis of state exit poll discrepancies for the 1988-2004 elections yields an interesting pattern. ... (according to a CBS News/New York Times exit poll), compared to … Split managed to garner $138.3 and $140.2 in the United States and Canada respectively. Evan Bayh and John Mutz mentioned. Voters at polling sites in the 50 United States were asked to fill out questionnaires as they exited the polling places. Sample of 11,645 voters as they left voting booths on Election Day, November 8, 1988. Unadjusted exit poll data has not been released for 2008. 05:30:30 pm — 05:35:00 pm (Studio: Dan Rather) Map projecting states won by Vice President George Bush and Michael Dukakis shown and discussed. The following information is based on exit polls. 1972 to 1988 exit polls reported here were conducted by CBS News and the New York Times. 1972 to 1988 exit polls reported here were conducted by CBS News and the New York Times. Presidential Election, 1988 George H. W. Bush (Republican) defeated Michael Dukakis (Democrat), winning 53 percent of the popular vote. The full set of 2008 exit polls and 24 of the 1988 state polls are from the Roper website. 1988 College Football Polls. The TVM is based on Census votes cast, mortality, prior election voter turnout and National Exit Poll vote shares. THE 1988 ELECTIONS; BUSH IS ELECTED BY A 6-5 MARGIN WITH SOLID G.O.P. Religion and Electoral Politics Among Black Americans in 1988 book. That's still a majority, but it's the lowest in exit polls dating from 1976. Imprint Routledge. In that state, last week, a federal judge blocked a state law prohibiting exit-poll interviews within 100 feet of a polling place. This also remains the most recent election in which a candidate won over 400 electoral votes. These states accounted for 68.7 (75%) of 91.6 million national recorded votes. Bayh's father, former Senator Birch Bayh, noted defeated by Senator Dan Quayle in 1980. By continuing to use our website, you consent to the use of cookies in accordance with our, show submenu for Elections and Presidents, show submenu for Publishing with Roper Center Data, show submenu for Polling and Public Opinion, Transparency and Acquisitions Policy​​​​​​​. According to an exit poll taken by CBS News and the New York Times, abortion was the issue that mattered most to Virginia voters--more than crime or education or taxes. Also, key to Trump’s victory was a 9-point lead among suburbanites, 54-45%, similar to his +10 in the Florida suburbs in 2016. Mitt Romney won the white vote handily, 58 to 40 percent, the biggest lead for a Republican since 1988. All CBS/New York Times exit poll data from 1980, 1984, and 1988 is archived at Cornell University’s Roper Center. 1988 the Palmetto State did not hold a Democratic primary. For the GOP, North Carolina and South Carolina are not analyzed. The 1988 campaign featured an open contest on both the Republican and Democratic sides, as Republican Pres. This survey was conducted with voters participating in the November 8, 1988 general election. How the poll was conducted: The Southwest Voter Research Institute (now William C. Velasquez Institute) Exit Poll in the March 8, 1988 Texas Democratic and Republican primaries is based on questionnaires completed by 4,086 voters as they left the polling places in 52 precincts randomly sampled throughout the state to be representative of Spanish surnamed voters. Answer - ing that question allows us to assess the relative importance of different types of voters, identifying the key groups necessary to build a winning coalition. DOI link for Religion and Electoral Politics Among Black Americans in 1988. Exit Polls show submenu for Exit Polls. Exit polls: Trump performed historically well with Jewish voters US President received the highest portion of the Jewish vote for any Republican candidate since 1988. The following information is based on exit polls. Do you think things in this country are moving in the right direction or do you feel things are pretty seriously off on the wrong track? Is it very good, fairly good, fairly bad or very bad? [BAYH - campaigns.] What do you think is the most important problem facing this country today? In 2000, 54% voted for Bush and 42% for Gore. 'AK Sharma welcomed in the BJP family' Sharma joined the party in the presence of state BJP president Swatantra Dev Singh and Deputy Chief Minister Dr Dinesh Sharma at the party headquarters in the … AP Preseason #1: Florida State. 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